Category Archives: The Gilded Goblin

Preparing for Grand Prix New Jersey

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By: Jared Yost

EDITOR’S NOTE: MTGPrice.com will have extensive live coverage of the #mtgfinance side of GP:NJ Friday through Sunday. This includes dealer interviews and live blogging from the floor. Be sure to check devblog.mtgprice.com all weekend long!

In preparation for Grand Prix New Jersey coming up later this week I thought I might share with you some of my ideas for what to expect at the tournament.

Vendor Paradise

There are going to be twenty vendors at the event – twenty vendors! – which means there are going to be many different opportunities for buylisting and arbitrage during the weekend. Buylisting almost becomes an art rather than a science during a GP.

Of course, the best time to visit the vendors is early Friday morning if you want the best deals and most opportunities to sell to them. At the beginning of the event the vendors will be looking to stock up not only for the weekend but to increase their general inventory. However, as the weekend goes on, fewer and fewer vendors are prone to offer high buylist prices on staples.

Besides buylisting cards, GP’s are a great opportunity to pick up swag. What I mean by swag are sleeves, dice, bags, binders, and other Magic related items that aren’t the cards themselves. Lots of vendors will be looking to undercut the others for items like Dragon Shield sleeves, Ultra Pro binders, and more.

Binder Preparation

You will want to give yourself plenty of time to gather all of the Legacy staples you want to trade at the event. Prices are going to be spiking the weekend of the tournament, for at least a select few cards. If you are keeping an eye on the price changes you will be able to capitalize on cards that experience short term spikes by trading them or buylisting them to the vendors.

Beyond Legacy, you should also prepare another binder for Modern and Standard trades. There will be plenty of opportunity to trade higher valued Theros block cards during the weekend like Elspeth, Sun’s Champion, Hero’s Downfall, Kiora, the Crashing Wave, and Ajani, Mentor of Heroes. There are going to be side events for Modern and Standard plus vendors will be picking up many of the Standard staples, in addition to Legacy and Modern, to increase their inventory.

Here are some cards that will be good to have for the event. I marked the format(s) the card will be desirable in. The more formats a card is desirable in the higher the chance you will have of being able to trade it. You should be able to trade or buylist all of the Legacy cards at some point during the weekend.

CardFormat
Force of WillLegacy
Volcanic IslandLegacy
Misty RainforestLegacy / Modern
Scalding TarnLegacy / Modern
WastelandLegacy
Tropical IslandLegacy
Deathrite ShamanLegacy
KarakasLegacy
Jace, the Mind SculptorLegacy
TundraLegacy
BayouLegacy
Sensei's Divining TopLegacy
Snapcaster MageLegacy / Modern
TarmogoyfLegacy / Modern
Umezawa's JitteLegacy
Stoneforge MysticLegacy
BatterskullLegacy / Modern
True-Name NemesisLegacy
Liliana of the VeilLegacy / Modern
Council’s JudgmentLegacy
Steam VentsModern
RemandModern
Stomping GroundModern
Temple GardenModern
Cryptic CommandModern
Sacred FoundryModern
Breeding PoolModern
Noble HierarchLegacy / Modern
Restoration AngelModern
Abrupt DecayLegacy / Modern
SpellskiteModern
Marsh FlatsLegacy / Modern
ThoughtseizeLegacy / Modern
Goblin GuideLegacy / Modern
Elspeth, Sun's ChampionStandard
Kiora, the Crashing WaveStandard
Ajani, Mentor of HeroesStandard
Keranos, God of StormsLegacy / Modern / Standard
Mana ConfluenceLegacy / Modern / Standard
Courser of KruphixModern / Standard
Stormbreath DragonStandard
Sylvan CaryatidStandard

I would also like to mention some decks that I think many different players will adopt for the Legacy main event. The decks are on the cheaper side to build and players could be looking for copies of random cards that appear in the decks. If you prepare well, you will be able to trade some of the more obscure pieces to someone looking to play the deck.

  • U/R Delver
  • Dredge
  • Belcher
  • Elves
  • Death & Taxes
  • Merfolk
  • Affinity

I think many players will want to use these decks because they are fairly straightforward to pilot and offer a pretty simplistic game plan in order to win. Check out a few lists online and see if you have any of the pieces of the decks. If you do you can probably trade them away during the weekend if you currently aren’t using them.

Besides decks, cards that show up in sideboards will also be nice to have for trades. Some cards in this list include:

  • Grafdigger’s Cage
  • Pithing Needle
  • Flusterstorm
  • Rest in Peace
  • Null Rod
  • Blood Moon
  • Surgical Extraction
  • Sulfuric Vortex
  • Wear / Tear
  • Submerge
  • Engineered Explosives
  • Krosan Grip
  • Ethersworn Canonist
  • Golgari Charm
  • Meddling Mage
  • Cabal Therapy
  • Price of Progress

By no means is this an extensive list but it does reflect many of the popular choices for sideboards.

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Bulk Drop Off

Vendors are pretty happy to buy bulk at these types of events, especially bulk rares. If you have a stack of them lying around that you’ve been looking to get rid of a GP is a great place to do it. Similar to buylisting, different vendors have different goals about how they want to buy bulk. There will be plenty of pricing options available for getting rid of it. Bulk foils are also pretty desirable and you should be able to get a decent quote if you shop around.
Don’t be afraid to barter. There are plenty of other vendors at the event and most vendors will be open to reasonable offers. The place will be crowded and  the vendors are going to want to get things over as fast as possible but it doesn’t mean that you have to feel pushed into making a deal you don’t want. Feel free to walk away if you’re not comfortable. There will be plenty of opportunities throughout the weekend.

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Similar to buylisting, getting rid of bulk will be much easier Friday morning compared to Saturday or Sunday. By Saturday and Sunday vendors will already be dealing with piles of cards so the chances of getting a deal will be harder and harder the further you try from Friday.

Discount Binders from Vendors

Grand Prix’s are great places for vendors to get rid of cards that they have a hard time moving locally if they don’t have a big online presence. Several vendors will have $1 Binders, $2 Binders, $5 Binders, etc. where they will put a ton of random cards into and hope to sell them during the event. Many times, staples of formats will be in these binders and you should be able to get good deals on otherwise higher prices at other stores. For example, at Grand Prix Richmond I saw cards like Scapeshift and Hero of Bladehold in these type of binders. It’s a pretty sweet deal if you take a few minutes out of your time to browse the binders.

One caveat with this plan is that if you are looking for NM condition than the discount binders may not be for you. There is usually a reason that these cards are in the binders in the first place. Foils with some scuffing, cards that are SP or even MP, and tons of cards that you probably aren’t interested in that you still have to look through will usually be prevalent. Don’t be discouraged though, if you are one to pick through bulk to find gems then browsing these binders should be a walk in the park in comparison.

Final Thoughts

Most of all, have fun at the event. Since there are tons of people be aware of your surroundings and keep a close watch on anything you bring to the event. I’ll be thinking carefully about what exactly I want to bring to an event of this size and so should you. I find that bringing less is much less stressful (barring bulk, of course) and helps me focus on other activities like playing, participating in events, and bargain hunting through the various vendors.

GP’s are pretty much the best place to find deals at and unfortunately there are hardly any Legacy GP’s anymore. This is going to be the best opportunity for many of us in some time to sell off any unused Legacy staples, or pick up those remaining staples we’ve been looking for to complete a deck or add to our collection.

Good luck to any playing in the main event, and safe travels to those flying in and driving four or more hours. Your dedication is what makes Magic great!


 

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Are You Cuban?

By: Jared Yost

The first time I brought my girlfriend Em over to my friend Nic’s house to introduce her to Magic beyond the realm of our own kitchen table, my other friend Matt had brought his cube and we were ready to play with it. I’ve fondly named it the “Matt’s Greatest Hits” cube since there isn’t any goal or overarching theme with the cube (at least that I can see). It is simply his personal favorite cards along with solid roleplayers to create archetypes to play with. Anyways, we’re trying to get people involved to get some awesome cube action going and he’s asking everyone “Are you cubin’? Are you cubin’?” clearly leaving off that oh so important ‘g’ at the end of the verb ‘cubing’. When Em was asked this question she responded “From the country of Cuba?” fully believing his question was “Are you Cuban?” We all had a good laugh, and after I explained this misinterpretation we were soon underway.

Besides the “Matt’s Greatest Hits” cube, Matt also has put together an Innistrad cube and a Return to Ravnica cube. These are definitely more theme and goal oriented, as he is focusing on specific limited environments for these cubes in addition to trying to foil out as many cards as he can. These cubes also better reflect the draft environments of the sets because he includes multiple copies of commons and usually two of every uncommon from the sets.

Drawing inspiration from my friend’s ventures into the cubing world, I’ve made it a goal to refine my own cube. I’ve had a “Jared’s Greatest Hits” cube for quite a long time myself, which I created for something to do with my brother when I go back home to PA and we want to play Magic together. However, I’m thinking about upgrading it and making it deeper and more interactive. I currently modify it here and there but I feel like it could use more cohesiveness.

Of course, being a financier I want to know approximately how much it is going to cost me to create an updated cube. I’ll be looking at cubes that span the financial spectrums, from the ones that include Moxes to the peasant cubes that are much more limiting in the cards you can include. I will even show you some price quotes that include proxying anything $50 or more. For the calculations, I’m going to assume I’m starting from scratch with zero cards so that others who may want to build a cube for the first time know the cost of all cards.

In order to help with this effort, I am drawing upon the power of Cube Tutor and their average cubes list to get the best picture about the costs of a cube. The website’s average cubes use the most popular cube cards. Odds are that players are going to want to include most cards on the list with slight modifications based on personal preference. I think this is a good starting point for determining approximate cube values because the Cube Tutor website draws these averages from all the cubes posted on the site.

Budgeting for a Cube

The average cubes tracked are:

  • Cube Tutor 360
  • Cube Tutor 360 Peasant
  • Cube Tutor 360 Pauper
  • Cube Tutor 450
  • Cube Tutor 450 Peasant
  • Cube Tutor 450 Pauper
  • Cube Tutor 720
  • Cube Tutor 720 Peasant
  • Cube Tutor 720 Pauper

Briefly looking over the cubes, they range in size from small to large according to your budget or tastes. For example, even though you might have the budget to get almost anything you want, maybe you don’t have a very large group that you cube with so you only need the bare minimum 360 cards to have a well rounded cube.

One aspect of the lower card count cubes that I noticed right away was that they did not contain cards like the Power 9, Mana Crypt, Mana Drain, Yawgmoth’s Will, Aether Vial, etc. The lower cube counts opted to play more straightforward cards since cubes with lower card counts will be more linear in their strategies. This leads to the super powerful cards like Black Lotus becoming unbeatable powerhouses. To avoid this, the cube average aggregator decided not to include them in the smaller cube lists. Expensive cards are still in the smaller cubes, like Revised dual lands, Karn Liberated, Cryptic Command, and Jace, the Mind Sculptor – it’s just that the extremely broken cards like Black Lotus tend to only be balanced out by including a majority of the old broken cards. This will greatly affect the overall price of the smaller cubes if we can expect extremely rare cards like Black Lotus to be absent from them.

Pricing the various cubes, we arrive at the approximate values without proxies:

No Proxies

Cube Price
Cube Tutor 360 $4,502.14
Cube Tutor 360 Peasant $191.75
Cube Tutor 360 Pauper $121.71
Cube Tutor 450 $5,008.29
Cube Tutor 450 Peasant $236.13
Cube Tutor 450 Pauper $142.19
Cube Tutor 720 $18,316.41
Cube Tutor 720 Peasant $396.97
Cube Tutor 720 Pauper $229.77

*TCG Mid

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Well, if we’re talking about a 720 card cube with Black Lotus and Moxen in it, that $18,000 price tag doesn’t really surprise me. It certainly is a ton a money to invest in a cube, and if you have a cube like this more power to you. Just please get insurance. We all hate seeing those reddit posts saying that someone “forgot” to hand back in all their cards when cube drafting…

For more reasonable options, the Peasant and Pauper cubes for 720 cards are much more affordable. If you’re looking to build a large cube on a budget that can accommodate lots of players and a plethora of archetypes I think it would be a good idea to start with a Peasant or Pauper cube and modify it from there.

Myself, I only need the 360 card cube. I think I’m going to start with the 360 Peasant and modify it to my tastes from there.

Hooray for Proxies

If you’re a person that just has to play all those powerful cards and don’t care if you have real copies, then proxying everything over a certain price point makes sense. This way you can have the best of both worlds and also have a goal to work towards – to one day own a cube that has all the real copies of the cards you want in it. When accounting for proxies of cards that are $50 or more, these are the updated cube prices for the regular cubes. I didn’t bother with the Peasant and Pauper options because they are already heavily discounted.

Proxies ($50 or more)

Cube Price
Cube Tutor 720 $4,939.03
Cube Tutor 450 $2,221.65
Cube Tutor 360 $1,803.95


As would be expected, the price with proxies drops considerably. It didn’t drop as much as I thought it would, however you could always lower the limit to $30, $20, or even $10 as the threshold for proxying. Your startup costs will keep decreasing with the limit you set yourself until you can build something that is affordable and work up from there.

Since I set the proxy limit at $50 or more, the prices show that there are still plenty of $30-$45 cards that can be included with a cube to bolster the price. Even the lower cards that range from $5-$15 can add up quickly.

Oooh, Shiny!

Just for fun, let’s see how much these cubes are on average are if your goal is to ultimately foil them out.

FOIL Cubes

Cube Price
Cube Tutor 360 $9,738.61
Cube Tutor 360 Peasant $1,045.71
Cube Tutor 360 Pauper $789.90
Cube Tutor 450 $10,847.83
Cube Tutor 450 Peasant $1,230.37
Cube Tutor 450 Pauper $928.39
Cube Tutor 720 $26,303.03
Cube Tutor 720 Peasant $1,794.67
Cube Tutor 720 Pauper $1,210.16

 

So if I wanted a foil 360 card Peasant cube, I could expect to pay around $1,000 for it. This is about what I expected in terms of pricing for foils. Clearly the the 720 card powered cube was going to be absurdly expensive, there is not denying that – if your goal is to foil out a powered cube it is quite a lofty goal.

Time to Play

Once you’ve decided where your budget lies and how big you want to make your cube, all I can say is go for it! Know that I too will be working on my cube now that I have a goal in mind and know where I want it to fall on my budget. Even if I have to proxy a few cards initially and then pick them up over time, I at least have a starting point for how much it will cost me – especially if I want to foil out my cube down the road.

Some final thoughts:

What have you guys spent on creating your cubes? Do the averages match what you think you’ve spent?

Do you procure expensive proxies to fill the slots of Black Lotus, the Moxen, Time Walk, and other powerful old cards that are hard to find? This can be a good compromise to purchasing the real card, in addition to having a fully foiled cube if the proxy is foil. I’m curious to know how much it costs to create these premium proxy cards for those who play with them.

Also, do you like to build cubes on a budget and add some spicy bulk/cheaper rares when the urge strikes you? Are you picking up multiple copies of cards to make set themed or more linear cubes? It would be good to know if Cube Tutor is hits or misses the mark in terms of what a typical player’s cube looks like.

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The Great Modern Uncommon and Common Search – Data Crunching Part 2

By: Jared Yost

Drawing inspiration from my coverage of Khans uncommons and commons, I decided to put together a list that was slightly more… ambitious. I figured, if there was value in deciding which uncommons and commons from the latest set have financial implications, why not look into even more sets for other gems that have maintained or increased in value over the years?

I also wanted to expand a bit more on my work for modern buylist data crunching, which involved seeing which vendors that MTGPrice tracked (I later completed a review of Card Kingdom) offered the highest buylist prices on average. However, some players aren’t really going to care about shopping around – they have a buylist that they use and will continue using that buylist because it is convenient for them rather than always splitting up orders between multiple buylists. So the question becomes, instead of which buylist offers the best prices what are the cards I should be looking out for in general that will sell well to almost any buylist? Odds are you are going to be selling lots of bulk picks to a buylist, so I wanted to see what the most valuable Modern uncommons and commons that go to buylists in general are.

I hope this article will prove useful to bulk pickers, those tireless souls that spend hours upon hours looking through bulk boxes for the gems that the rest of us find useful. If there is enough interest, I can continue tracking the value of uncommons and commons for the remaining older sets in the Magic (barring sets like Alpha, where basically every card is worth $5 or more).

For now though, I think Modern is a good starting point because it is the newest eternal format that is gaining interest again due to the Onslaught fetchlands being reprinted in Khans. There are many uncommons and commons on the list (see appendix) that have popped up in Modern builds over the past year and have gained some value due to being discovered as useful in the format.

However, a large majority of the uncommons and commons on this list have maintained value due to casual demand. Casuals drive a large part of the demand from the market, so when you see cards like Salt Marsh, Zombify, and Mirrodin’s Core being listed on buylists you really shouldn’t be that surprised. As Anthony Capece recapped in a groundbreaking MTG finance piece last November, cards from newer sets are printed in vastly higher quantities than older sets. Starting with Innistrad, the card printers that Wizards contracts to make Magic must have been jumping for joy from the amount of work that Wizards (Hasbro, really) sent their way.

This is also reflected in the pricing data. Before arriving at Innistrad, I could find numerous uncommons and commons from the pre-Innistrad sets that retailed for $0.50 or more on TCGPlayer. The number of post-Innistrad uncommons and commons that retail for $0.50 on TCGPlayer (barring Modern Masters and Conspiracy, of course) are noticeably lower. Khans being the only exception, since the set is so new still that we’ll need a year for the uncommons and commons to be printed into oblivion and decrease in price too.

OK, so you’re probably wondering what trends I’ve found after glancing through that appendix. Let’s first start with the most expensive uncommons and commons by retail price that are legal in Modern. I will refer to as Tier 1 uncommons and commons.

TCGPlayer Retail – Tier 1 Modern Uncommons and Commons

Card Name Set TCGPlayer Value Avg Buylist
Sensei’s Divining Top* Champions of Kamigawa $25.99 $14.78
Aether Vial Darksteel $21.93 $15.64
Aven Mindcensor Future Sight $11.98 $7.50
Remand Ravnica: City of Guilds $11.39 $9.50
Counterbalance Coldsnap $9.67 $6.92
Cursecatcher Shadowmoor $8.36 $4.12
Serum Visions Fifth Dawn $6.97 $4.50
Ghostly Prison Champions of Kamigawa $6.94 $3.46
Flames of the Blood Hand Betrayers of Kamigawa $6.02 $4.20
Lightning Greaves Mirrodin $5.99 $4.00
Dryad Arbor Future Sight $5.99 $3.50
Inquisition of Kozilek Rise of the Eldrazi $5.99 $3.69
Path to Exile Conflux $5.82 $2.95
Path to Exile Modern Masters $5.74 $3.50
Merrow Reejerey Lorwyn $5.50 $2.00
Skullclamp* Darksteel $5.24 $3.92
Heritage Druid Morningtide $5.17 $2.28
Stoke the Flames M15 $4.91 $3.50
Tolaria West Future Sight $4.80 $3.00
Imperious Perfect Lorwyn $4.54 $2.95
Isochron Scepter Mirrodin $4.51 $4.60
Harmonic Sliver Time Spiral $4.25 $3.96
Kitchen Finks Shadowmoor $4.19 $1.91
Kitchen Finks Modern Masters $3.88 $2.05
Might of Old Krosa Time Spiral $3.81 $1.75
Keen Sense Planar Chaos $3.80 $2.00

*Not Modern format legal

Not surprising here is that many of these card are Modern or Legacy tournament staples, such as Sensei’s Divining Top and Aether Vial. However, cards like Ghostly Prison, Lightning Greaves, Imperious Perfect, and Harmonic Sliver are the casual gold I was talking about that usually comes out of these bulk boxes because players focused on tournament play don’t care about them. If you continue on to the next 25 or so cards with higher retail values you will continue to see more casual cards show up in the list. These are your Tier 2 Modern uncommons and commons.

TCGPlayer Retail – Tier 2 Modern Uncommons and Commons

Card Name Set TCGPlayer Value Avg Buylist
Tectonic Edge Worldwake $3.79 $1.00
Hinder Champions of Kamigawa $3.75 $1.30
Silvergill Adept Lorwyn $3.75 $2.00
Smash to Smithereens Shadowmoor $3.66 $2.00
Spell Snare Dissension $3.57 $2.95
Shattering Spree Guildpact $3.50 $2.08
Spell Snare Modern Masters $3.49 $2.25
Gilder Bairn Eventide $3.45 $2.77
Necrotic Sliver Planar Chaos $3.30 $2.31
Shatterstorm 10th Edition $3.25 $1.65
Beseech the Queen Shadowmoor $3.23 $1.50
Ancient Ziggurat Conflux $3.15 $2.27
Sylvan Scrying 10th Edition $3.13 $1.38
Liliana’s Caress M11 $3.00 $1.93
Mind Funeral Alara Reborn $2.99 $2.06
Squelch Champions of Kamigawa $2.93 $1.80
Lightning Helix Ravnica: City of Guilds $2.92 $1.25
Steelshaper’s Gift Fifth Dawn $2.90 $1.03
Lightning Helix Modern Masters $2.89 $1.52
Simian Spirit Guide Planar Chaos $2.86 $1.15
Sylvan Scrying Mirrodin $2.85 $1.22
Mind Funeral Modern Masters $2.85 $1.55
Hedron Crab Zendikar $2.65 $1.50
Sowing Salt Betrayers of Kamigawa $2.59 $0.92
Elvish Promenade Lorwyn $2.59 $1.50
Mishra’s Bauble Coldsnap $2.52 $1.70

 

This list is where we start seeing cards like Hedron Crab and Mind Funeral – cards that might be tournament playable under the right circumstances but really are just popular with casual mill players looking to build sixty card mill decks, using only the best mill cards available from Magic’s history. I can keep going like this, tiering cards out based on price, though again I will emphasize that all of my research is located in the appendix which is the reference that you can use to take a look at the multitude of cards I’ve found.

Instead I would like to showcase the highest buylist prices and lowest spreads that I found. I’ll cover the highest buylist prices out of the data set next.

TCGPlayer Retail – Highest Buylist Modern Uncommons and Commons

Card Name Set TCGPlayer Value Avg Buylist
Aether Vial Darksteel $21.93 $15.64
Sensei’s Divining Top* Champions of Kamigawa $25.99 $14.78
Remand Ravnica: City of Guilds $11.39 $9.50
Aven Mindcensor Future Sight $11.98 $7.50
Counterbalance Coldsnap $9.67 $6.92
Isochron Scepter Mirrodin $4.51 $4.60
Serum Visions Fifth Dawn $6.97 $4.50
Flames of the Blood Hand Betrayers of Kamigawa $6.02 $4.20
Cursecatcher Shadowmoor $8.36 $4.12
Lightning Greaves Mirrodin $5.99 $4.00
Harmonic Sliver Time Spiral $4.25 $3.96
Skullclamp* Darksteel $5.24 $3.92
Inquisition of Kozilek Rise of the Eldrazi $5.99 $3.69
Dryad Arbor Future Sight $5.99 $3.50
Path to Exile Modern Masters $5.74 $3.50
Stoke the Flames M15 $4.91 $3.50
Ghostly Prison Champions of Kamigawa $6.94 $3.46
Tolaria West Future Sight $4.80 $3.00
Path to Exile Conflux $5.82 $2.95
Imperious Perfect Lorwyn $4.54 $2.95
Spell Snare Dissension $3.57 $2.95
Gilder Bairn Eventide $3.45 $2.77
Necrotic Sliver Planar Chaos $3.30 $2.31
Heritage Druid Morningtide $5.17 $2.28

*Not Modern format legal

I wanted to see what the most valuable cards on a buylist were, on average, for Modern uncommons and commons. Yes, Aether Vial and Sensei’s Divining Top made this list again, no surprises there. But did you know some stores are paying $3.50 for Stoke the Flames, an M15 uncommon? That seems like pretty easy money to me there – take out all those Stokes that you drafted during M15 and make a nice bit of cash from them, especially since when it rotates from Standard that price is going to tank really hard. There is no way in the long run that Stoke the Flames has a higher buylist price than Heritage Druid, Imperious Perfect, and Path to Exile.

Something that jumped out to me right away is that Isochron Scepter has arbitrage right now – there is a buylist out there buying Isochron Scepters for more than TCGPlayer retail. Seems like a good time to pick up some Scepters before TCGPlayer retail catches up with the demand. Speaking of which, let’s see from the appendix data which cards have arbitrate opportunities or low spreads.

Arbitrage Opportunities / Lowest Spreads

Card Name Set TCGPlayer Value Buylist Value Spread
Psychotrope Thallid Planar Chaos $0.99 $1.04 -5.05%
Isochron Scepter Mirrodin $4.51 $4.60 -2.00%
Thirst for Knowledge Modern Masters $0.50 $0.50 0.00%
Talisman of Dominance Mirrodin $0.53 $0.50 5.66%
Harmonic Sliver Time Spiral $4.25 $3.96 6.82%
Leatherback Baloth Worldwake $0.68 $0.63 7.35%
Bile Blight Born of the Gods $0.59 $0.53 10.17%
Banishing Light Journey Into Nyx $1.95 $1.75 10.26%
Chromatic Star 10th Edition $1.43 $1.25 12.59%
Pathrazer of Ulamog Rise of the Eldrazi $1.94 $1.69 12.89%
Swarm of Rats 8th Edition $0.75 $0.64 14.67%
Remand Ravnica: City of Guilds $11.39 $9.50 16.59%
Telekinetic Sliver Time Spiral $0.60 $0.50 16.67%
Spell Snare Dissension $3.57 $2.95 17.37%
Electrolyze Guildpact $2.00 $1.65 17.50%
Gilder Bairn Eventide $3.45 $2.77 19.71%
Serra Angel M15 $0.54 $0.43 20.37%
Great Furnace Mirrodin $0.73 $0.58 20.55%
Terminate Alara Reborn $0.99 $0.78 21.21%
Fabricate Mirrodin $1.83 $1.43 21.86%
Lava Spike Champions of Kamigawa $1.49 $1.16 22.15%
Drove of Elves Shadowmoor $1.82 $1.41 22.53%
Molten Rain Mirrodin $1.19 $0.92 22.69%
Spectral Procession Shadowmoor $1.62 $1.25 22.84%
Treetop Village 10th Edition $1.47 $1.13 23.13%
Rift Bolt Modern Masters $1.20 $0.90 25.00%
Skullclamp* Darksteel $5.24 $3.92 25.19%
Genesis Chamber Darksteel $2.40 $1.75 27.08%
Blackmail 9th Edition $1.83 $1.32 27.87%
Ancient Ziggurat Conflux $3.15 $2.27 27.94%

 *Not Modern format legal

I’m betting this is the list that surprised most of you. These are the cards that have arbitrage and the lowest spread out of the entire list. Yes, that’s right – Psychotrope Thallid, a card that I didn’t even know existed, currently has the lowest spread amongst all Modern legal uncommons and commons. Card Kingdom is buying these guys for more than what TCGPlayer is selling on average. Also among the negative spread club are Mirrodin Isochron Scepters which are also being bought by Card Kingdom. Again, these numbers tell me that I should probably pick up some copies of these uncommons in anticipation of a climb in retail price in the future. However, this is definitely much riskier than a rare or mythic rare arbitrage opportunity because a reprint of an uncommon will kill the current price and wipe out the arbitrage.

Bile Blight and Banishing Light seem to be very popular Standard uncommons, so any extras of these you have can be sent back to buylists and give you good value. Random casual uncommons and commons with low spreads include such cards as Talisman of Dominance, Harmonic Sliver, Leatherback Baloth, Pathrazer of Ulamog, Swarm of Rats, Telekinetic Sliver, Gilder Bairn, Terminate, Drove of Elves, and Ancient Ziggurat.

Final Thoughts

Always be on the lookout for hot Modern uncommons and commons. There are certain casually popular uncommons and commons especially that fly under the radar but at the same time are flying off the shelves of game stores around the country (and even the globe!). Picking bulk has always been a good path to gaining value out of your collection, or a recently acquired collection, and I hope that this article shows that value through exhibiting both tournament and casual retail and buylist prices.

Arbitrage is present, however unlike rares and mythics uncommons and commons are much more risky to try and make profits by buying single cards in mass quantities. At any time Wizards could reprint that uncommon or common if the demand is present. Feel free to pick up undervalued uncommons and commons but make sure you time your offloading them correctly.

Finally, here is the appendix I have been referring to throughout the entire article. Please feel free to print it out and reference it the next time you are sit down to pick through Modern bulk.

Appendix

Appendix – Modern Uncommon and Common Master List

 


All pre-Innistrad cards from sets have a TCGPlayer retail value of $0.50 or more. All Innistrad and later set cards have a TCGPlayer retail value of $0.25 or more.

Sets cover Eighth Edition through Khans of Tarkir.

SetCard NameTCGPlayer ValueBuylist ValueSpread
10th EditionChromatic Star1.431.250.12587412587413
10th EditionTreetop Village1.471.130.2312925170068
10th EditionMind Stone0.750.540.28
10th EditionTelling Time0.530.290.45283018867925
10th EditionPrimal Rage1.470.80.45578231292517
10th EditionSoul Warden0.760.40.47368421052632
10th EditionShatterstorm3.251.650.49230769230769
10th EditionWhispersilk Cloak0.690.340.50724637681159
10th EditionSylvan Scrying3.131.380.5591054313099
10th EditionSpark Elemental0.590.260.55932203389831
10th EditionRelentless Rats1.660.730.56024096385542
10th EditionAura of Silence1.940.790.59278350515464
10th EditionRule of Law1.320.480.63636363636364
10th EditionFaerie Conclave10.360.64
10th EditionOrnithopter0.560.090.83928571428571
10th EditionMogg Fanatic0.590.090.84745762711864
10th EditionBlanchwood Armor0.730.090.87671232876712
10th EditionDiabolic Tutor0.650.060.90769230769231
8th EditionSwarm of Rats0.750.640.14666666666667
8th EditionChoke1.340.890.33582089552239
8th EditionUrza's Power Plant1.580.990.37341772151899
8th EditionUrza's Tower1.610.90.44099378881988
8th EditionUrza's Mine1.540.590.61688311688312
8th EditionCoastal Piracy0.560.180.67857142857143
8th EditionStory Circle0.950.30.68421052631579
8th EditionNoble Purpose0.540.170.68518518518519
8th EditionSerra Angel0.510.080.84313725490196
8th EditionMerchant Scroll0.990.150.84848484848485
8th EditionZombify0.590.070.88135593220339
8th EditionFecundity0.560.060.89285714285714
8th EditionCuriosity0.650.060.90769230769231
8th EditionAmbition's Cost0.730.050.93150684931507
8th EditionSalt Marsh0.530.020.9622641509434
9th EditionBlackmail1.831.320.27868852459016
9th EditionSerra's Blessing10.720.28
9th EditionSummer Bloom1.561.090.30128205128205
9th EditionUrza's Mine1.51.030.31333333333333
9th EditionGift of Estates2.491.670.32931726907631
9th EditionUrza's Tower1.7510.42857142857143
9th EditionSwarm of Rats0.970.50.48453608247423
9th EditionUrza's Power Plant1.860.840.54838709677419
9th EditionKird Ape0.980.430.56122448979592
9th EditionSleight of Hand2.4310.58847736625514
9th EditionSeething Song1.090.390.64220183486239
9th EditionSoul Warden0.740.20.72972972972973
9th EditionRewind0.560.090.83928571428571
9th EditionCruel Edict0.580.070.87931034482759
9th EditionZombify0.710.070.90140845070423
9th EditionDiabolic Tutor0.530.050.90566037735849
9th EditionBlanchwood Armor0.530.030.94339622641509
Alara RebornTerminate0.990.780.21212121212121
Alara RebornMind Funeral2.992.060.31103678929766
Alara RebornLorescale Coatl1.811.210.33149171270718
Alara RebornQasali Pridemage1.50.80.46666666666667
Alara RebornMage Slayer1.010.50.5049504950495
Alara RebornBloodbraid Elf1.620.780.51851851851852
Alara RebornWall of Denial1.660.650.60843373493976
Alara RebornZealous Persecution0.840.130.8452380952381
Alara RebornArdent Plea0.880.120.86363636363636
Avacyn RestoredLightning Mauler0.330.090.72727272727273
Avacyn RestoredBlood Artist1.80.480.73333333333333
Avacyn RestoredWolfir Avenger0.30.050.83333333333333
Avacyn RestoredThunderous Wrath0.2901
Betrayers of KamigawaFlames of the Blood Hand6.024.20.30232558139535
Betrayers of KamigawaSosuke's Summons0.520.260.5
Betrayers of KamigawaThroat Slitter1.050.520.5047619047619
Betrayers of KamigawaSowing Salt2.590.920.64478764478764
Betrayers of KamigawaNinja of the Deep Hours0.690.070.89855072463768
Born of the GodsBile Blight0.590.530.10169491525424
Born of the GodsSearing Blood0.920.440.52173913043478
Born of the GodsDrown in Sorrow0.880.420.52272727272727
Born of the GodsSpringleaf Drum0.520.220.57692307692308
Born of the GodsArchetype of Courage0.490.20.59183673469388
Born of the GodsFanatic of Xenagos0.330.050.84848484848485
Born of the GodsRagemonger0.340.050.85294117647059
Born of the GodsKiora's Follower0.2901
Champions of KamigawaLava Spike1.491.160.22147651006711
Champions of KamigawaDesperate Ritual0.790.50.36708860759494
Champions of KamigawaSquelch2.931.80.38566552901024
Champions of KamigawaSensei's Divining Top25.9914.780.43131973836091
Champions of KamigawaGhostly Prison6.943.460.5014409221902
Champions of KamigawaTime of Need0.850.380.55294117647059
Champions of KamigawaHinder3.751.30.65333333333333
Champions of KamigawaKodama's Reach0.770.10.87012987012987
Champions of KamigawaSakura-Tribe Elder0.80.090.8875
ColdsnapCounterbalance9.676.920.28438469493278
ColdsnapColdsteel Heart1.671.160.30538922155689
ColdsnapRite of Flame1.731.20.30635838150289
ColdsnapMishra's Bauble2.521.70.32539682539683
ColdsnapStromgald Crusader2.281.250.45175438596491
ColdsnapMartyr of Sands1.210.490.59504132231405
ColdsnapLightning Storm0.570.20.64912280701754
ColdsnapRune Snag0.790.240.69620253164557
ColdsnapArctic Flats0.830.240.71084337349398
ColdsnapBlizzard Specter0.930.220.76344086021505
ColdsnapFrost Marsh0.940.220.76595744680851
ColdsnapJuniper Order Ranger1.180.190.83898305084746
ColdsnapTresserhorn Sinks0.640.060.90625
ColdsnapBoreal Shelf0.680.060.91176470588235
ColdsnapJötun Grunt0.740.060.91891891891892
ColdsnapKrovikan Mist0.5101
ConfluxAncient Ziggurat3.152.270.27936507936508
ConfluxPath to Exile5.822.950.49312714776632
ConfluxReliquary Tower2.4810.59677419354839
ConfluxHellspark Elemental0.950.240.74736842105263
ConfluxCountersquall0.760.090.88157894736842
ConfluxVolcanic Fallout0.790.090.88607594936709
ConspiracyMortify0.420.270.35714285714286
ConspiracySwords to Plowshares2.271.220.4625550660793
ConspiracyBrainstorm0.980.50.48979591836735
ConspiracyDeathreap Ritual0.260.120.53846153846154
ConspiracyVolcanic Fallout0.30.10.66666666666667
ConspiracySquirrel Nest0.750.250.66666666666667
ConspiracyVictimize0.320.10.6875
ConspiracyBreakthrough0.430.120.72093023255814
ConspiracyFact or Fiction0.550.060.89090909090909
ConspiracySplit Decision0.30.020.93333333333333
ConspiracySakura-Tribe Elder0.3701
Dark AscensionImmerwolf0.420.160.61904761904762
Dark AscensionStromkirk Captain0.470.080.82978723404255
Dark AscensionChalice of Life0.360.060.83333333333333
Dark AscensionThought Scour0.330.050.84848484848485
Dark AscensionDiregraf Captain0.450.050.88888888888889
Dark AscensionLingering Souls0.470.050.8936170212766
Dark AscensionTragic Slip0.410.020.95121951219512
Dark AscensionStrangleroot Geist0.420.020.95238095238095
Dark AscensionDrogskol Captain0.2901
Dark AscensionPyreheart Wolf0.2801
DarksteelSkullclamp5.243.920.25190839694656
DarksteelGenesis Chamber2.41.750.27083333333333
DarksteelÆther Vial21.9315.640.28682170542636
DarksteelCoretapper0.940.430.54255319148936
DarksteelDarksteel Citadel1.470.20.86394557823129
DarksteelMirrodin's Core0.510.050.90196078431373
DarksteelArcbound Crusher0.730.070.9041095890411
DissensionSpell Snare3.572.950.17366946778711
DissensionPlaxcaster Frogling10.50.5
DissensionCoiling Oracle0.940.410.56382978723404
DissensionUtopia Sprawl2.080.760.63461538461538
DissensionTrygon Predator0.990.320.67676767676768
DissensionSimic Growth Chamber1.080.150.86111111111111
DissensionGhost Quarter0.840.10.88095238095238
Dragon's MazeFar // Away0.390.10.74358974358974
Dragon's MazeWear // Tear0.450.10.77777777777778
Dragon's MazeSpike Jester0.270.050.81481481481481
Dragon's MazePutrefy0.430.050.88372093023256
Dragon's MazeUnflinching Courage0.750.070.90666666666667
Dragon's MazeWarleader's Helix0.3901
Dragon's MazeSin Collector0.3201
Dragon's MazeTurn // Burn0.3101
EventideGilder Bairn3.452.770.19710144927536
EventideBatwing Brume0.890.580.34831460674157
EventideSpitemare0.60.310.48333333333333
EventideQuillspike0.840.340.5952380952381
EventideWistful Selkie0.950.340.64210526315789
EventideSlippery Bogle1.420.50.64788732394366
EventideUnmake0.850.250.70588235294118
EventideCrumbling Ashes0.910.260.71428571428571
EventideFlickerwisp1.060.290.72641509433962
EventideVoracious Hatchling0.630.090.85714285714286
EventideNettle Sentinel0.640.080.875
Fifth DawnEternal Witness2.471.750.2914979757085
Fifth DawnSerum Visions6.974.50.35437589670014
Fifth DawnRelentless Rats1.540.90.41558441558442
Fifth DawnKrark-Clan Ironworks2.271.30.4273127753304
Fifth DawnCranial Plating2.241.170.47767857142857
Fifth DawnNight's Whisper1.30.660.49230769230769
Fifth DawnBlasting Station2.31.050.54347826086957
Fifth DawnMagma Jet1.390.610.56115107913669
Fifth DawnEnergy Chamber1.150.50.56521739130435
Fifth DawnGrafted Wargear1.10.40.63636363636364
Fifth DawnSteelshaper's Gift2.91.030.6448275862069
Fifth DawnCondescend0.580.160.72413793103448
Fifth DawnParadise Mantle1.490.240.83892617449664
Future SightAven Mindcensor11.987.50.37395659432387
Future SightTolaria West4.830.375
Future SightDryad Arbor5.993.50.41569282136895
Future SightUtopia Mycon2.191.250.42922374429224
Future SightLlanowar Reborn0.530.190.64150943396226
Future SightEpochrasite0.760.270.64473684210526
Future SightNarcomoeba1.030.350.66019417475728
Future SightStreet Wraith1.530.480.68627450980392
Future SightSword of the Meek1.410.30.78723404255319
Future SightSpin into Myth0.530.10.81132075471698
GatecrashDuskmantle Guildmage0.460.220.52173913043478
GatecrashAlpha Authority0.350.150.57142857142857
GatecrashBurning-Tree Emissary1.30.50.61538461538462
GatecrashVizkopa Guildmage0.270.10.62962962962963
GatecrashSkullcrack1.060.350.66981132075472
GatecrashBoros Charm2.380.470.80252100840336
GatecrashGhor-Clan Rampager0.310.060.80645161290323
GatecrashRapid Hybridization0.810.150.81481481481481
GatecrashExperiment One1.150.190.83478260869565
GatecrashFirefist Striker0.310.050.83870967741935
GatecrashWight of Precinct Six0.430.050.88372093023256
GatecrashSimic Charm0.790.090.88607594936709
GatecrashBoros Elite0.490.050.89795918367347
GatecrashOrzhov Charm0.350.030.91428571428571
GatecrashWasteland Viper0.350.030.91428571428571
GatecrashCartel Aristocrat0.260.020.92307692307692
GatecrashThrull Parasite0.280.020.92857142857143
GatecrashÆtherize0.330.020.93939393939394
GatecrashDimir Charm0.330.020.93939393939394
GatecrashMadcap Skills0.2801
GuildpactElectrolyze21.650.175
GuildpactShattering Spree3.52.080.40571428571429
GuildpactSouls of the Faultless1.450.620.57241379310345
GuildpactMortify0.810.10.87654320987654
GuildpactGelectrode0.890.10.8876404494382
InnistradDelver of Secrets10.550.45
InnistradTrepanation Blade0.310.090.70967741935484
InnistradFull Moon's Rise0.290.070.75862068965517
InnistradReckless Waif0.380.090.76315789473684
InnistradDiregraf Ghoul0.310.060.80645161290323
InnistradMidnight Haunting0.260.050.80769230769231
InnistradInvisible Stalker1.040.190.81730769230769
InnistradIntangible Virtue0.30.050.83333333333333
InnistradGhost Quarter0.330.050.84848484848485
InnistradDissipate0.340.020.94117647058824
InnistradUnburial Rites0.3901
Innistrad***Curiosity0.30.050.83333333333333
Journey Into NyxBanishing Light1.951.750.1025641025641
Journey Into NyxBrain Maggot0.690.350.49275362318841
Journey Into NyxNyx-Fleece Ram2.360.750.68220338983051
Journey Into NyxDakra Mystic0.320.10.6875
Journey Into NyxNyx Weaver0.490.120.75510204081633
Journey Into NyxGnarled Scarhide1.130.250.7787610619469
Journey Into NyxEidolon of Rhetoric0.270.020.92592592592593
Khans of TarkirMonastery Swiftspear1.750.990.43428571428571
Khans of TarkirAbzan Charm0.710.30.57746478873239
Khans of TarkirDespise0.370.150.59459459459459
Khans of TarkirHordeling Outburst0.350.110.68571428571429
Khans of TarkirMurderous Cut0.80.250.6875
Khans of TarkirSandsteppe Citadel0.610.180.70491803278689
Khans of TarkirTreasure Cruise0.340.10.70588235294118
Khans of TarkirSeeker of the Way0.510.130.74509803921569
Khans of TarkirSuspension Field0.270.050.81481481481481
Khans of TarkirNomad Outpost0.50.070.86
Khans of TarkirOpulent Palace0.510.070.86274509803922
Khans of TarkirJeskai Charm0.660.090.86363636363636
Khans of TarkirMystic Monastery0.520.070.86538461538462
Khans of TarkirMardu Charm0.530.070.86792452830189
Khans of TarkirFrontier Bivouac0.570.070.87719298245614
Khans of TarkirWar-Name Aspirant0.310.020.93548387096774
Khans of TarkirStubborn Denial0.330.020.93939393939394
Khans of TarkirSultai Charm0.530.020.9622641509434
Khans of TarkirTemur Charm0.501
LorwynShriekmaw1.510.33333333333333
LorwynImperious Perfect4.542.950.35022026431718
LorwynJagged-Scar Archers1.671.010.39520958083832
LorwynElvish Harbinger1.580.930.41139240506329
LorwynElvish Promenade2.591.50.42084942084942
LorwynSilvergill Adept3.7520.46666666666667
LorwynKnight of Meadowgrain2.251.20.46666666666667
LorwynTreefolk Harbinger1.560.660.57692307692308
LorwynMerrow Commerce1.180.440.6271186440678
LorwynMerrow Reejerey5.520.63636363636364
LorwynPonder0.960.330.65625
LorwynFlamekin Harbinger1.580.430.72784810126582
LorwynVivid Marsh0.610.150.75409836065574
LorwynVivid Creek0.530.10.81132075471698
LorwynVivid Meadow0.610.10.83606557377049
LorwynSpringleaf Drum1.050.160.84761904761905
LorwynVivid Crag0.620.090.85483870967742
LorwynLys Alana Huntmaster0.530.060.88679245283019
LorwynWren's Run Vanquisher0.860.090.8953488372093
LorwynMad Auntie0.70.060.91428571428571
M10Lightning Bolt1.891.360.28042328042328
M10Ponder0.950.410.56842105263158
M10Fabricate1.890.770.59259259259259
M10Relentless Rats1.490.60.59731543624161
M10Soul Warden0.690.140.79710144927536
M11Lightning Bolt1.851.20.35135135135135
M11Liliana's Caress31.930.35666666666667
M11Pyretic Ritual0.950.50.47368421052632
M11Preordain0.710.290.59154929577465
M11Cultivate0.870.240.72413793103448
M11Relentless Rats1.480.20.86486486486486
M11Ajani's Pridemate1.030.130.87378640776699
M11Whispersilk Cloak0.590.020.96610169491525
M12Buried Ruin0.510.340.33333333333333
M12Ponder0.930.380.59139784946237
M12Goblin Grenade0.530.20.62264150943396
M12Spirit Mantle1.680.630.625
M12Swiftfoot Boots0.750.150.8
M12Timely Reinforcements0.550.090.83636363636364
M13Rancor1.521.010.33552631578947
M13Reliquary Tower2.491.190.52208835341365
M13Murder0.520.170.67307692307692
M13Jace's Phantasm1.30.370.71538461538462
M13Vampire Nighthawk0.980.240.75510204081633
M13Mind Sculpt0.390.090.76923076923077
M13Oblivion Ring0.40.090.775
M13Fog Bank10.220.78
M13Rewind0.280.050.82142857142857
M13Knight of Infamy0.290.050.82758620689655
M13Knight of Glory0.460.050.89130434782609
M13Searing Spear0.30.020.93333333333333
M13Tormod's Crypt0.310.020.93548387096774
M13Elixir of Immortality0.330.020.93939393939394
M13Flinthoof Boar0.501
M13Augur of Bolas0.4501
M13Clone0.3801
M14Young Pyromancer1.991.40.2964824120603
M14Manaweft Sliver1.741.10.36781609195402
M14Shadowborn Apostle0.940.190.79787234042553
M14Diabolic Tutor0.270.050.81481481481481
M14Elixir of Immortality0.280.050.82142857142857
M14Banisher Priest0.350.050.85714285714286
M14Brave the Elements0.490.060.87755102040816
M14Domestication0.2801
M14Encroaching Wastes0.2601
M15Serra Angel0.540.430.2037037037037
M15Stoke the Flames4.913.50.28716904276986
M15Furnace Whelp0.480.330.3125
M15Sengir Vampire0.480.330.3125
M15Garruk's Packleader0.520.330.36538461538462
M15Ensoul Artifact1.681.040.38095238095238
M15Illusory Angel0.40.20.5
M15Darksteel Citadel0.990.450.54545454545455
M15Military Intelligence0.290.10.6551724137931
M15Shrapnel Blast0.330.10.6969696969697
M15Venom Sliver0.430.130.69767441860465
M15Diffusion Sliver0.370.110.7027027027027
M15Ajani's Pridemate0.40.10.75
M15Reclamation Sage0.270.020.92592592592593
M15Sunblade Elf0.290.020.93103448275862
M15Leeching Sliver0.40.020.95
M15Ulcerate0.2901
MirrodinIsochron Scepter4.514.6-0.019955654101996
MirrodinTalisman of Dominance0.530.50.056603773584906
MirrodinGreat Furnace0.730.580.20547945205479
MirrodinFabricate1.831.430.21857923497268
MirrodinMolten Rain1.190.920.22689075630252
MirrodinLightning Greaves5.9940.3322203672788
MirrodinLoxodon Warhammer1.170.570.51282051282051
MirrodinSylvan Scrying2.851.220.5719298245614
MirrodinWrench Mind1.240.50.59677419354839
MirrodinRule of Law1.270.50.60629921259843
MirrodinSeething Song0.90.340.62222222222222
MirrodinSeat of the Synod1.110.390.64864864864865
MirrodinThoughtcast0.990.330.66666666666667
MirrodinAncient Den1.330.430.67669172932331
MirrodinCloudpost1.160.250.78448275862069
MirrodinCrystal Shard0.780.150.80769230769231
MirrodinShrapnel Blast0.610.10.83606557377049
MirrodinMyr Retriever0.610.050.91803278688525
MirrodinVault of Whispers0.640.050.921875
Mirrodin BesiegedPlague Myr0.260.10.61538461538462
Mirrodin BesiegedGoblin Wardriver0.310.050.83870967741935
Mirrodin BesiegedSignal Pest0.490.070.85714285714286
Mirrodin BesiegedGo for the Throat1.950.050.97435897435897
Modern MastersThirst for Knowledge0.50.50
Modern MastersRift Bolt1.20.90.25
Modern MastersEternal Witness2.441.650.32377049180328
Modern MastersMulldrifter0.50.330.34
Modern MastersManamorphose2.371.560.34177215189873
Modern MastersSpell Snare3.492.250.35530085959885
Modern MastersPath to Exile5.743.50.39024390243902
Modern MastersMind Funeral2.851.550.45614035087719
Modern MastersNarcomoeba0.930.50.46236559139785
Modern MastersKitchen Finks3.882.050.47164948453608
Modern MastersLightning Helix2.891.520.47404844290657
Modern MastersMyr Retriever0.490.250.48979591836735
Modern MastersElectrolyze2.11.060.4952380952381
Modern MastersStreet Wraith0.810.320.60493827160494
Modern MastersSporesower Thallid0.290.10.6551724137931
Modern MastersMogg War Marshal0.390.130.66666666666667
Modern MastersLava Spike1.590.490.69182389937107
Modern MastersVivid Meadow0.510.150.70588235294118
Modern MastersRelic of Progenitus1.290.360.72093023255814
Modern MastersEpochrasite0.450.10.77777777777778
Modern MastersKrosan Grip0.690.150.78260869565217
Modern MastersMad Auntie0.330.070.78787878787879
Modern MastersSpellstutter Sprite0.460.090.80434782608696
Modern MastersRaven's Crime0.360.070.80555555555556
Modern MastersVivid Creek0.480.090.8125
Modern MastersDesperate Ritual0.880.160.81818181818182
Modern MastersAuriok Salvagers0.350.060.82857142857143
Modern MastersParadise Mantle1.270.20.84251968503937
Modern MastersTrygon Predator0.830.120.85542168674699
Modern MastersShrapnel Blast0.550.070.87272727272727
Modern MastersKodama's Reach0.810.10.87654320987654
Modern MastersTidehollow Sculler0.50.060.88
Modern MastersFlickerwisp0.90.090.9
Modern MastersMurderous Redcap0.80.070.9125
Modern MastersEtherium Sculptor0.580.050.91379310344828
Modern MastersEchoing Truth0.40.030.925
Modern MastersReach of Branches0.280.020.92857142857143
Modern MastersTribal Flames0.280.020.92857142857143
Modern MastersWorm Harvest0.30.020.93333333333333
Modern MastersPestermite0.410.020.95121951219512
Modern MastersVivid Crag0.480.020.95833333333333
Modern MastersVivid Grove0.490.020.95918367346939
Modern MastersVivid Marsh0.490.020.95918367346939
Modern MastersGrapeshot0.4801
Modern MastersEmpty the Warrens0.4101
Modern MastersDakmor Salvage0.3101
Modern MastersMyr Enforcer0.301
Modern MastersPlumeveil0.2701
Modern MastersMasked Admirers0.2601
MorningtideHeritage Druid5.172.280.55899419729207
MorningtideShard Volley1.330.550.58646616541353
MorningtideOona's Blackguard0.60.170.71666666666667
MorningtideBramblewood Paragon0.970.20.79381443298969
MorningtideThornbite Staff0.520.070.86538461538462
New PhyrexiaGitaxian Probe2.221.250.43693693693694
New PhyrexiaMindcrank2.321.280.44827586206897
New PhyrexiaDispatch1.560.850.45512820512821
New PhyrexiaDismember1.250.650.48
New PhyrexiaBeast Within1.9910.49748743718593
New PhyrexiaNoxious Revival0.80.370.5375
New PhyrexiaVapor Snag0.770.290.62337662337662
New PhyrexiaDeceiver Exarch0.680.250.63235294117647
New PhyrexiaShattered Angel0.680.250.63235294117647
New PhyrexiaMental Misstep0.620.190.69354838709677
New PhyrexiaTezzeret's Gambit0.830.240.71084337349398
New PhyrexiaGut Shot0.60.060.9
New PhyrexiaShrine of Burning Rage0.60.050.91666666666667
New PhyrexiaWhipflare0.60.050.91666666666667
Planar ChaosPsychotrope Thallid0.991.04-0.050505050505051
Planar ChaosRebuff the Wicked1.611.160.27950310559006
Planar ChaosNecrotic Sliver3.32.310.3
Planar ChaosBig Game Hunter0.540.310.42592592592593
Planar ChaosPongify0.930.50.46236559139785
Planar ChaosSinew Sliver1.440.760.47222222222222
Planar ChaosKeen Sense3.820.47368421052632
Planar ChaosHarmonize1.460.750.48630136986301
Planar ChaosÆther Membrane0.750.320.57333333333333
Planar ChaosDawn Charm0.520.210.59615384615385
Planar ChaosSimian Spirit Guide2.861.150.5979020979021
Planar ChaosFrozen Æther0.760.250.67105263157895
Planar ChaosDash Hopes0.820.250.69512195121951
Planar ChaosEssence Warden0.930.240.74193548387097
Planar ChaosPhantasmagorian0.680.130.80882352941176
Planar ChaosKavu Predator0.770.090.88311688311688
Ravnica: City of GuildsRemand11.399.50.16593503072871
Ravnica: City of GuildsLightning Helix2.921.250.57191780821918
Ravnica: City of GuildsTelling Time0.560.220.60714285714286
Ravnica: City of GuildsSuppression Field1.940.720.62886597938144
Ravnica: City of GuildsGolgari Thug1.910.60.68586387434555
Ravnica: City of GuildsDarkblast0.750.190.74666666666667
Ravnica: City of GuildsCongregation at Dawn0.660.10.84848484848485
Ravnica: City of GuildsDimir Aqueduct1.390.210.84892086330935
Ravnica: City of GuildsMuddle the Mixture0.670.090.86567164179104
Ravnica: City of GuildsWatchwolf0.590.050.91525423728814
Ravnica: City of GuildsPutrefy0.690.050.92753623188406
Return to RavnicaShrieking Affliction0.410.250.39024390243902
Return to RavnicaSphere of Safety0.410.120.70731707317073
Return to RavnicaGolgari Charm0.690.190.72463768115942
Return to RavnicaSelesnya Charm0.430.060.86046511627907
Return to RavnicaGuttersnipe0.390.050.87179487179487
Return to RavnicaIzzet Charm0.630.080.87301587301587
Return to RavnicaUltimate Price0.260.030.88461538461538
Return to RavnicaJudge's Familiar0.850.090.89411764705882
Return to RavnicaAzorius Charm0.740.070.90540540540541
Return to RavnicaRakdos Cackler0.310.020.93548387096774
Return to RavnicaSyncopate0.470.030.93617021276596
Return to RavnicaEthereal Armor0.40.020.95
Rise of the EldraziPathrazer of Ulamog1.941.690.12886597938144
Rise of the EldraziInquisition of Kozilek5.993.690.38397328881469
Rise of the EldraziNot of This World0.860.50.41860465116279
Rise of the EldraziWall of Omens1.420.760.46478873239437
Rise of the EldraziDistortion Strike0.990.420.57575757575758
Rise of the EldraziJoraga Treespeaker1.330.490.63157894736842
Rise of the EldraziSoul's Attendant0.950.330.65263157894737
Rise of the EldraziArtisan of Kozilek1.930.660.6580310880829
Rise of the EldraziHyena Umbra1.270.390.69291338582677
Rise of the EldraziAncient Stirrings0.640.140.78125
Saviors of KamigawaHand of Honor0.880.50.43181818181818
Saviors of KamigawaO-Naginata0.560.240.57142857142857
Saviors of KamigawaManriki-Gusari0.970.240.75257731958763
Scars of MirrodinPalladium Myr0.870.330.62068965517241
Scars of MirrodinIchorclaw Myr0.890.330.62921348314607
Scars of MirrodinMemnite1.10.380.65454545454545
Scars of MirrodinExsanguinate1.250.430.656
Scars of MirrodinMyr Galvanizer0.770.070.90909090909091
ShadowmoorDrove of Elves1.821.410.22527472527473
ShadowmoorSpectral Procession1.621.250.2283950617284
ShadowmoorUmbral Mantle1.991.20.39698492462312
ShadowmoorFirespout1.150.650.43478260869565
ShadowmoorSmash to Smithereens3.6620.45355191256831
ShadowmoorShield of the Oversoul1.520.830.45394736842105
ShadowmoorGuttural Response0.940.50.46808510638298
ShadowmoorLeechridden Swamp1.20.60.5
ShadowmoorCursecatcher8.364.120.50717703349282
ShadowmoorBoggart Ram-Gang0.860.40.53488372093023
ShadowmoorBeseech the Queen3.231.50.53560371517028
ShadowmoorMistveil Plains2.261.040.53982300884956
ShadowmoorKitchen Finks4.191.910.54415274463007
ShadowmoorManamorphose2.2210.54954954954955
ShadowmoorBloodmark Mentor0.820.330.59756097560976
ShadowmoorKulrath Knight1.210.480.60330578512397
ShadowmoorPrison Term0.890.350.60674157303371
ShadowmoorInkfathom Infiltrator1.30.50.61538461538462
ShadowmoorSteel of the Godhead0.850.250.70588235294118
ShadowmoorCerulean Wisps1.540.290.81168831168831
ShadowmoorMurderous Redcap0.910.150.83516483516484
ShadowmoorWilt-Leaf Cavaliers0.740.050.93243243243243
Shards of AlaraWild Nacatl0.980.30.69387755102041
Shards of AlaraSeaside Citadel1.710.520.69590643274854
Shards of AlaraSavage Lands1.080.240.77777777777778
Shards of AlaraCrumbling Necropolis10.220.78
Shards of AlaraBlightning0.830.180.78313253012048
Shards of AlaraRelic of Progenitus1.290.270.7906976744186
Shards of AlaraArcane Sanctum1.610.310.80745341614907
Shards of AlaraJungle Shrine1.070.190.82242990654206
Shards of AlaraBant Charm0.670.10.85074626865672
Shards of AlaraEtherium Sculptor0.620.070.88709677419355
Shards of AlaraTidehollow Sculler0.540.050.90740740740741
Shards of AlaraSigiled Paladin0.750.060.92
TherosMagma Jet0.560.370.33928571428571
TherosDissolve0.950.40.57894736842105
TherosFavored Hoplite0.290.060.79310344827586
TherosPhalanx Leader0.310.060.80645161290323
TherosFanatic of Mogis0.3301
TherosLightning Strike0.2901
Time SpiralHarmonic Sliver4.253.960.068235294117647
Time SpiralTelekinetic Sliver0.60.50.16666666666667
Time SpiralRift Bolt10.670.33
Time SpiralSpinneret Sliver0.630.380.3968253968254
Time SpiralGemhide Sliver0.980.50.48979591836735
Time SpiralParadox Haze1.930.90.53367875647668
Time SpiralDread Return1.250.580.536
Time SpiralMight of Old Krosa3.811.750.54068241469816
Time SpiralSidewinder Sliver0.530.160.69811320754717
Time SpiralChromatic Star1.260.360.71428571428571
Time SpiralKrosan Grip0.690.150.78260869565217
Time SpiralReturn to Dust1.190.240.79831932773109
Time SpiralMight Sliver0.70.10.85714285714286
Time SpiralVampiric Sliver0.550.050.90909090909091
WorldwakeLeatherback Baloth0.680.630.073529411764706
WorldwakeTectonic Edge3.7910.73614775725594
WorldwakeEverflowing Chalice0.920.210.77173913043478
WorldwakeGroundswell0.780.160.79487179487179
WorldwakeExplore0.810.080.90123456790123
ZendikarHedron Crab2.651.50.43396226415094
ZendikarSpell Pierce2.221.20.45945945945946
ZendikarVines of Vastwood1.910.850.55497382198953
ZendikarGatekeeper of Malakir0.790.290.63291139240506
ZendikarSpreading Seas0.60.210.65
ZendikarVampire Nighthawk0.960.320.66666666666667
ZendikarExpedition Map1.430.420.70629370629371
ZendikarBrave the Elements0.560.040.92857142857143

 

What’s Your Standard Deck Worth?

By: Jared Yost

Something I’m interested in seeing is the value of Standard decks over time, especially in light of the combination of the new setup of blocks/sets and the Standard rotation changes made by Wizards. These changes are happening once Khans block fully enters the Standard card pool and the final core set is released, which is much closer than players realize. What this means is that players will have to budget for Standard accordingly, since block rotation will occur every 18 months rather than every 24 months.

In order to track Standard deck values over time, I would like to see the current Standard decks that exist and then recreate this article in the future on a quarterly basis in order to keep on top of trends for existing and new Standard decks. It would be best to see the information on a quarterly basis to coincide with new set releases, where hype is highest and paying attention to the prices is most important.

Also, I hope by doing this that I point out to players which Standard decks are the cheapest competitive decks of the format, and which decks may feature cards hyped from a set release. My theory is that expensive decks now could be driven down in overall price due to the influx of the new set as players draft it and open boxes. I want to see if I can refer back to this article in the future and see more expensive decks now than in the future.

If there is interest, I could also write similar articles in this series about Modern or even Legacy decks to show players which decks are currently the cheapest to play and which decks increase or decrease in price over time. For now though, I want to keep the scope to Standard because the most widely played format is going to have the most price swings and will need the closest watch to determine the fluctuations of prices.

Scope of Analysis

The scope will include the following to determine a deck’s value:

  • All decks that have been recorded on TCGPlayer (http://magic.tcgplayer.com/standard_deck_hq.asp)
    • For my own sanity’s sake, I am going to take the average of the first five decks that I find that match to an archetype on MTG Top 8, preferably using the decks of the archetype that got 1st place or were PT finishers. I will not use decks that aren’t ranked in the averages, but I will use all decks in the overall count in order to assess the popularity of the deck. There are 19 deck archetypes out there and trying to average each deck of all singular archetypes into one general price is too much work for only slightly more precise averages. Thus I stick with five.
    • Decks will be non-MTGO decks that placed at in-person events like Pro Tours, GP’s, State Champs, etc. since the data is from TCGPlayer and they do not track MTGO. If there is interest, I can track the price of MTGO decks as well in a future article.
  • All prices reflect TCG Mid Pricing
  • The term “deck” for this analysis includes both main and sideboard cards
  • Finally, I realize that there are budget-based decks beyond what is recorded on TCGPlayer and that’s fine. What I am trying to aim for in this article is that if you are playing an extremely budget based deck at an FNM or other tournament, there are other options out there that have already proven themselves as a viable archetype that probably aren’t much more expensive than your deck. Especially if you are willing to sacrifice NM condition and go for cards that are SP or lower.

With my scope out of the way, let’s see which decks are the most and least expensive in Standard right now.

Data Set – Khans Standard Deck Prices

Deck Average Cost Copies Listed on TCGPlayer
Abzan Midrange $708.74 98
Jeskai Tempo $444.77 77
Mardu Midrange $649.46 37
Temur Midrange $537.52 26
RG Midrange $554.87 22
GR Devotion $461.41 19
Monogreen Devotion $475.52 19
GB Devotion $464.10 16
Esper Control $458.40 12
Rabble Red $150.23 11
Sultai Midrange $565.57 10
Monoblack Aggro $254.34 8
Naya Midrange $695.00 7
Mardu Tokens $533.20 7
Naya Superfriends $713.76 6
BW Aggro $309.07 6
Mardu Control $552.85 5
Abzan Reanimator $453.42 5
Jeskai Burn $430.57 4
*Jeskai Combo (Lee Shi Tian) $407.57 1
*Abzan Aggro (Thiago Saporito) $530.06 1
*UB Control (Ivan Floch) $369.64 1
**Sultai Dredge (Christian Seibold) $444.96 1
**Boros Tokens (Brad Nelson) $371.64 1
**Jeskai Control (Justin Cheung) $557.36 1

*PT Khans Top 8, only appearance
**Place highly at PT Khans outside Top 8, no other appearances

Notes about the data set:

  • The copies on TCGPlayer represent the amount of players who are listing their deck – this does not reflect the number of Top 8’s that the deck has received.
  • Average cost represents the average cost of five winning decks (first place), as available – if there were fewer than five winners I picked the next highest placing decks of the archetype for the average. All averages were based on decks in Top 8’s.
  • I included the rest of the Pro Tour Khans Top 8 decks in the analysis, which did not show up in the TCGPlayer top played deck archetypes, to see where the rest of the PT Top 8 was on the budget scale.
  • I also included a few other PT recorded decks that were in the TCGPlayer database in the analysis that did fairly well at the tournament to see where they landed on budget.

Data Set – Graphical Representation

Ten Most Represented Decks on TCGPlayer – Average Cost, Ordered by Deck Price

image00

Remaining Standard Decks and High Finishes at PT Khans – Average Cost, Ordered by Deck Price

image01

Data Set Analysis

Not surprising is that that the Pro Tour winning deck Abzan Midrange is now the most expensive deck in Standard right now along with being the most popular on TCGPlayer. I believe the prices of several cards in the deck, specifically Siege Rhino, Wingmate Roc, and Sorin, Solemn Visitor are driven by the hype of the win. I expect this deck to go down in overall price over the next few months as the Khans pieces of the deck decrease in price.

Surprisingly, out of the top five most played decks of the format the Jeskai Tempo deck is significantly cheaper than the other top four decks even after the Mantis Rider, Goblin Rabblemaster, and Dig Through Time spikes. However, looking further into the deck we can easily see why. The archetype plays many solid commons and uncommons that the Abzan Midrange and other midrange decks replace with planeswalkers, which are typically among the most expensive mythic rares in the set. Most of the Jeskai Tempo decks only play two copies of Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker as their planeswalker with the occasional deck playing one or two copies of Chandra, Pyromaster along with Sarkhan. The other midrange decks are playing six to seven planeswalkers, which significantly drives up the price of the deck especially if the walkers are Sarkhan and/or Sorin. Keep this in mind if you’re trying to build a competitive Standard deck on a budget – Jeskai Tempo is currently a mid-budget deck that should get cheaper as more Khans product is released and is one of the more dominant decks of the format right now.

In terms of budget decks, there are several options available right now that are around $400 or less. The first that pops out to me is the Jeskai Ascendency combo deck and UB Control deck that both placed in the Top 8 of PT Khans. These decks can currently be had for $408 and $370, respectively. I’ll give you a guess as to what these decks have in common. That’s right, neither deck plays Planeswalkers in either the main deck or the sideboard. This allows the decks to be more to akin “budgetary” decks than the other decks that are showing up on TCGPlayer.

A true budget deck based on the results is Rabble Red, coming in at $150, and Monoblack Aggro coming in at $250. If you are playing Standard, it seems like the minimum amount you will need to spend to remain competitive is about $200 for one of the cheaper aggro decks. However, what surprises me is that Floch’s control deck is among the five least expensive decks in Khans Standard! For about $150 more you could build yourself a competitive control deck if you hate being on the aggro plan all the time and your budget is limited.

To summarize, the five most expensive Standard decks currently are:

  1. Naya Superfriends    $713.76
  2. Abzan Midrange        $708.74
  3. Naya Midrange          $695.00
  4. Mardu Midrange        $649.46
  5. Sultai Midrange         $565.57

I’m certain a few of these decks, like Abzan Midrange, contain several cards that are driven by hype right now and that their average total prices should come down over the next few months. If you can, avoid playing these decks for now even if you don’t have a limited budget since you should eventually be able to play them for cheaper if you wait for more Khans product to be released.

The five least expensive Standard decks are:

  1. Rabble Red            $150.23
  2. Monoblack Aggro    $254.34
  3. BW Aggro               $309.07
  4. UB Control              $369.64
  5. Boros Tokens         $371.64

These are the decks that should allow you to remain competitive at FNM while not burning a huge hole in your pocket. There is even a control option in here, UB Control, if you can’t stand playing aggro decks. Or maybe you just like the color blue!

Middle of the road decks (between $450 and $480) include:

  1. Monogreen Devotion    $475.52
  2. GB Devotion                 $464.10
  3. GR Devotion                 $461.41
  4. Esper Control               $458.40
  5. Abzan Reanimator       $453.42

*Honorable Mention – Jeskai Tempo $444.77

These are the decks that are competitive and generally more consistent than the lowest priced budgetary decks, since they contain more powerful mana fixing or a few more planeswalkers than the budget decks. Keep in mind, Jeskai Tempo is not strictly in the middle five decks however is actually cheaper than all of them and is in many players’ view more a powerful archetype. There are two blue decks here, so again there are options for those players looking to avoid spending $500 or more on a Standard deck while still being able to play blue.

Last Thoughts

Let me know if you like this type of article. I enjoyed writing it and I hope you liked seeing most of the current deck archetypes and what the prices were. This will show you what you can play for all budget levels. Hopefully this will give new players and existing Standard players a starting point for choosing a deck from a financial standpoint after a Standard shakeup. Standard can be expensive, however many overall deck prices should go down over the next few months as more Khans product is added to the market.