By James Chillcott (@MTGCritic)
One of the most common misconceptions about folks involved in MTGFinance is that we are constantly manipulating the market and feeding players misinformation to help fuel achievement of our personal goals.
It recently occurred to us here that though we dole out a good deal of advice, most of you ultimately have very little insight into when we actually put our money where our collective mouths are pointing. As such we’ve decided to run a weekly series simply breaking down what we’ve been buying this week and why. These lists are meant to be both complete and transparent, leaving off only cards we bought without hope of profit, where appropriate. We’ll also try to provide some insight into our thinking behind the specs, and whether we are aiming for a short (<1 month), mid (1-12 month), or long (1 year+) term flip. Here we go!
Buying Period: Feb 15th – 21st, 2015
Guest Report: “Davis” (Toronto, Canada MTGFinance Hustler)
While most of us are just talking about buying cards, guys like “Davis” (not his real name) are out there hustling for paper in both directions. I first came across Davis when preparing for GP NJ last fall, when he lent me some much needed Legacy cards without the slightest demand for compensation, having never met me before. Intrigued by his trust, we chatted on social media, and it quickly became apparent to me that he was one of the sharpest minds in MTGFinance. Davis has a keen eye for a deal, and he’s willing to travel to get things done. When others are scared, he’s stockpiling, and recently we’ve been chatting about how the swings in exchange up here (the Canadian dollar has moved from $1.05 against the USD last summer to $1.28 now) have made acquiring Legacy and Vintage staples in Canada a serious bargain.
Here’s what Davis has been up to this week:
- 6x Alt Art Ugin, the Spirit Dragon: $60 per
- Swords to Plowshares (FNM Foil): $95
- Lightning Bolt (Judge Foil): $115
- Counterbalance (Foil NM): $65
- Thoughtseize (Foil NM Lorwyn): $175
- Foil Gaea’s Cradle $195
- 12x Polluted Delta (KTK) $10
- 12x Flooded Strand (KTK) $10
- 12x Windswept heath (KTK) $8
- 12x Wooded Foothills (KTK) $8
- 12x Bloodstained Mire (KTK) $7
“Here in Canada, we don’t have our outlets like TCGPlayer to sell our cards [as easily as in the US], and for most players, buying via TCG is such a hassle, due to shipping costs (if the seller will even ship internationally to begin with) and border fees, so the local players tend to ignore TCG, and most deals are based on StarCityGames prices. SCG is known to be terrible for pricing, but when you take the recent changes in the value of our dollar, you start to realize how cheap our cards actually are. “
“What once was TCGPlayer’s low prices against the highest buylist, I now look at the difference in foreign currencies, and see where SCG prices in Canadian dollars relates to US buylists. For example, a near-mint Underground Sea is being sold by our local stores for $300 Canadian, and Æther Games was buying them at $230 US Dollars at GP San Jose. Now when you put both into a common currency, $300 Canadian is only $239 US. You can currently buy cards in Canada for nearly buylist prices from our retail stores! As of today, the current TCG low on Flooded Strand is $12.83 USD, meanwhile our stores are essentially selling them for 11.56 USD. And many players will sell their cards for even less than that of the local stores.”
- Mid: 1x Russian Thoughtseize (SP Lorwyn): $60
- Mid: 2x Abrupt Decay (NM): $11 per
- Mid: 9x Temur Battle Rage (NM): $1.35 per
- Long: 10x Mind Control (NM – Alt Art Foil Promo): $.020 per
- Long: 10x Kiora’s Follower (NM – Alt Art Promo): $.020 per
- Long: 10x Vault Skirge (NM – Alt Art Foil Promo): $.020 per
- Long: 10x Hall of Triumph (NM – Alt Art Foil Promo): $.020 per
- Long: 10x Dictate of the Twin Gods (NM – Alt Art Foil Promo): $.020 per
- Long: 10x Magister of Worth (NM – Alt Art Foil Promo): $.020 per
- Long: 10x Megantic Sliver (NM – Alt Art Foil Promo): $.020 per
This week was a bit quiet on my side of things, as I spent more spare time playing Magic than buying cards. Standard is just in such a great spot right now, so I’m all in with no less than 5 decks on hand.
The Russian Thoughtseize is a pretty rare specialty item given that’s a Lorwyn edition, so I snapped it up for personal play use, with the potential for upside should the more common versions start pushing the price higher next year.
I continue to acquire Abrupt Decay, having start in on the card at $6 last year, and up to about 40 copies at this point. I see this powerful multi-format all-star hitting $20 within the year, as it should be free of reprint risk for the next year or two, and is one of the most powerful removal spells in both Modern and Legacy, as well as being excellent in the emerging Tiny Leaders format. It could also stall out in the mid teens, but it’s almost impossible for the card to reverse course, and that makes it a great place to store some value at the outside worst.
Temur Battle Rage first popped on my radar when I saw LSV steal a few games with it on camera in limited. The ability to deal immense amounts of damage in a hurry is much more powerful than most people realize, as both double strike and trample can easily wreck plans. Then I started seeing the card show up all over the place on MTGO, in bizarre hyper aggro builds leveraging cards like Steppe Lynx, Death’s Shadow and Wild Nacatl. It’s only a common, but it’s from a set that won’t be opened for very long on it’s own, and I can easily see these foils hitting $3-5 at some point down the road when aggro regains prominence in Modern. This is a perfect example of the kind of long shot specs you should stay away from if your funds are limited, especially if you don’t already have your allotment of cards like Abrupt Decay or Eidolon of the Great Revel.
Speaking of long shots, I picked up another 12 copies of Soulflayer around $1, because I’m convinced that this card has a future home in Modern and/or Legacy. Oddly many of my peers disagree and see this card as pure bulk. To my eyes, it’s basically Tasigur without Legendary limitations and much more upside in aggro/combo builds. Sure Tasigur only requires a single black mana vs. double black, and he has that sweet recursive ability in long games, but if Tasigur is an 8/10 on power level, I think Soulflayer is at least a 6 or 7, especially when you’re set to give him Hexproof. Travis Woo even through together a Soulflayer brew this week for Modern that looked predictably loose, yet still very powerful in the games on camera. In the hands of a more devoted brewer, and with the high potential of future synergistic cards adding to it’s power, I’m happy to be holding 20+ of this card.
Re: all the promos, they aren’t the kind of cards I tend to target, especially if they don’t represent top of mind demand, but a local LGS had them on special as 10 for $2.00 packs, unplayed, so I snapped them up to add to my trade fodder, with a few held aside for Cube and Commander decks. Given that most of these cards are already worth $1-3, that’s a pretty great deal.
Note: Guo Heng Chin buys from Malyasia, so his costs will tend to be different than for those of us based in the west.
- Long: 4 x foil Kemba, Kha Regent (NM): $3.99 per.
“In my article last week, I mentioned that Kemba, Kha Regent is a good pick up at under $5 and what better way to back my argument than moving in on a few myself. Kemba is a rare combination of a solid leader in Tiny Leaders who at the same time oozes casual appeal. She is also a good addition to equipment-centric Nahiri decks.
Just four copies as I am not interested in ‘buying out’ the market (nor do I have the resources to do so). Any less than four makes the $7 recorded shipping to Malaysia unjustifiable.”
1x Thassa, God of the Sea (NM Foil): $15
1x Sygg, River Guide (NM Foil): $11
1x Shu Yun, the Silent Tempest (NM Promo Foil): $6
1x Selvala, Explorer Returned (NM Foil): $9
1x Rayne, Academy Chancellor (NM Foil): $10
1x Isamaru, Hound of Konda (NM Foil): $20
“This is all Tiny Leaders speculation. I’m targeting foil Commanders since they are the centerpiece of their respective decks. I will continue to look for more opportunities in Tiny Leaders as the format evolves.”
Cliff Daigle & Travis Allen
Nothing to report this week.
So there you have it. Now what were you guys buying this week and why?
James Chillcott is the CEO of ShelfLife.net, The Future of Collecting, Senior Partner at Advoca, a designer, adventurer, toy fanatic and an avid Magic player and collector since 1994.
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11 thoughts on “MTGFinance: What We’re Buying This Week (Pt 2)”
I hope you guys are including the cost of shipping (if bought online) in these, otherwise it’s QUITEmisleading. Guo Heng Chin, especially. If he’s paid $3.99 each for his Kembas, but there was also a $7 shipping fee…really he paid $5.74 each.
Hey there. My prices are definitely all in. I’ll ensure the rest of the guys are quoting similarly. Cheers.
Where the hell did you get Flooded Strands for $10 ea?
Lol, or a foil Thassa for $1?
$15 – forgot that 5 🙂
Yeah, foil Thassa for $1!?!?!?! That’s gotta be a misprint. Raid, the Flooded Strands for “$10” was because the Canadian dollar is crushing the US dollar as explained in the the article. But why have fetches dropped in price recently cause Strand and Delta have dropped from near $20 to $15ish?
Thassa was $15 guys =D
I didn’t ask why or how – I asked where.
What ‘Davis’ does happens here in Australia too.
Our Aussie dollar is buying $0.78 USD, whereas before Christmas it was $0.86 and less than a year ago it was $0.95 USD (see http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=AUD&to=USD&view=1Y)
I was able to do a bit of forex arbitrage between AU LGS prices and Hawaii LGS buylist prices last week in Hawaii.
So, someone explain something to me from the finance side…
Why isn’t anyone buying up Shadow of Doubt, foils and non-foils?
*everyone* and their grandmother is playing fetches in modern. For UU or BB (which covers a myriad of decks) you can effectively sinkhole a fetchland AND cantrip. Win the flip? Drop a land, go. They drop a fetch, go. Turn 2, drop a land, go. End of turn, they crack the fetch. Shadow of Doubt. You’re up 2 lands and even on cards. If you can’t take advantage of that against any deck whatsoever…
I think this is a card just waiting to be broken. Wish I had paid attention to it back in 2012.
The reason is because if you run Shadow of Doubt mainboard against Affinity Robots, Burn or Infect, which can all thrive on 1 mana and/or without fetchlands, Shadow of Doubt begins to lose games.
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